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The shock in this tier are the Kansas City Chiefs, who fell out of the top 10 and are now behind the Saints in 12th position. The Saints also have a healthy 75% chance of making the playoffs this season, which is encouraging. The Muddled Middle Ranks 11-22 NFL Week 7 Super Bowl Odds, Courtesy of Five Thirty Eight / Click to Enlargeįollowing their narrow victory on the road in Seattle, the New Orleans Saints held their ground as the best of the average, coming in with the 11th odds of winning the Super Bowl (2%). The biggest change in the top 10 is the arrival of the upstart Cincinnati Bengals, paced by the dynamic duo of former LSU Tigers in quarterback Joe Burreaux Burrow and wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase, who together are rewriting franchise records in Cincy, and have the “Who Dey” Nation believing that this is the beginning of a golden era of pro football in The Queen City. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, whom the Saints face on Sunday, continue their ride atop the odds of winning the Super Bowl, now at 17% (15% last week).

The Top 10 Ranks 1-10 NFL Week 7 Super Bowl Odds, Courtesy of Five Thirty Eight / Click to Enlarge However, despite New Orleans not playing, other teams won and lost, which adjusted the odds. This week, the Saints were idle, with their bye coming extra early in this new 17-game regular season schedule.

The system assigns a gain value to the winner and a loss value to the loser such that the sum of the winner’s gain and the loser’s loss is equal to zero. The system was invented by physicist Arpad Elo, and originally designed to rate players in zero-sum games, like chess. They use the well-oiled Elo rating system. My favorite website to look at Super Bowl odds throughout the regular season is Five Thirty Eight (FTE).

The exciting part about this exercise is that we can follow the ups and downs of our beloved Saints throughout the regular season via the variations of their odds not only to make it to the Super Bowl, but first to even make it to the playoffs, win the NFC South, or earn a first round bye in the playoffs. “Get ready to party with the Lombardi, New Orleans!” - Jim Henderson (Legendary Saints play-by-play announcer)